Fran Bartolić

Curriculum Vitae

A PDF version is available here.

Experience

Research Scientist, Salient Predictions
December 2022–present · remote/NYC
Building AI models for probabilistic weather forecasting, including GEM-2, a probabilistic transformer for global weather dynamics and decision-centric variables.
Research Resident, Cervest
June 2021–December 2021 · London, UK
Built probabilistic models for predicting the Urban Heat Island effect from geospatial datasets.
Research Analyst, Center for Computational Astrophysics, Flatiron Institute
February 2020–June 2020 · New York, USA
Developed probabilistic models for inferring time-variable surface maps of exoplanets from time series data, using latent NMF and variational inference.

Education

PhD in Astrophysics, University of St Andrews
2017–2023 · St Andrews, Scotland
Bayesian modeling of astrophysical time series: gravitational microlensing and occultation mapping of planetary surfaces.
MSc in Physics with Astrophysics, University of Rijeka
2015–2017 · Rijeka, Croatia
Thesis research on circumbinary exoplanet dynamics at Lund Observatory, Sweden.
BSc in Physics, University of Split
2012–2015 · Split, Croatia
Thesis on the tidal evolution of close-in giant planets, testing whether tidal engulfment explains why they are rare around evolved stars.

Publications

See the research page for a full list, or ADS.

Patents

Multi-model blending of probabilistic weather forecasts
US Patent Application 2026/0003100 A1 · filed June 2025
S. J. Levang, F. Bartolić. Machine-learning blender that combines the outputs of multiple probabilistic weather models with weights that adapt to location, lead time, and season.
Multi-model blending via a neural network for probabilistic weather forecasts
US Patent Application 2026/0003101 A1 · filed June 2025
S. J. Levang, F. Bartolić. Neural-network approach to probabilistic multi-model blending, learning context-dependent weights from location, lead time, and season.
Long-term weather forecasting framework using statistical and machine learning modeling
US Patent Application 2026/0104533 A1 · filed October 2025
S. Ridge, V. Cikojević, F. Bartolić. Hybrid framework combining statistical dimensionality reduction with a diffusion model for long-term forecasts.